Highest Expected Outcomes
| Selection | Match | Exp. |
|---|
Matchweek 1 fixtures
Opening week| # | Home | Away | Kickoff | Home ML | Away ML | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOR | MIA | 2026-10-03 | — | — | — |
| 2 | ATL | MEM | 2026-10-05 | — | — | — |
| 3 | CHA | BKN | 2026-10-06 | — | — | — |
| 4 | SAC | LAL | 2026-10-06 | — | — | — |
| 5 | GS | LAL | 2026-10-07 | — | — | — |
| 6 | OKC | NO | 2026-10-07 | — | — | — |
| 7 | BKN | PHI | 2026-10-08 | — | — | — |
| 8 | CLE | BOS | 2026-10-08 | — | — | — |
| 9 | MEM | ORL | 2026-10-08 | — | — | — |
| 10 | MIA | NO | 2026-10-08 | — | — | — |
| 11 | DAL | HOU | 2026-10-09 | — | — | — |
| 12 | LAL | SAC | 2026-10-09 | — | — | — |
| 13 | SA | ATL | 2026-10-09 | — | — | — |
| 14 | IND | ATL | 2026-10-10 | — | — | — |
| 15 | TOR | LAC | 2026-10-10 | — | — | — |
Fixture dates and kickoff times per the official 2026/27 NBA schedule. Moneyline prices are model-fair estimates from the Scoutics win model, not verified book quotes.
This week's model leans
| # | Match | Selection | Ref. odds | Fair prob | Model diff | Ref. EV |
|---|
Ranked from Scoutics model probabilities and refreshed every 6 hours. Reference prices, model difference and reference EV are not verified bookmaker market quotes.
How the engine works
1
Ingest live data
Results, form, injuries, and market odds pulled in continuously across all 30 NBA clubs.
2
Simulate the match
Each fixture runs thousands of times through a Monte Carlo model to build a full outcome distribution.
3
Surface the edge
Simulated probabilities are compared against market odds and ranked by expected value.
Standings
| Team | Pld | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Celtics | — | — |
| 2 | Brooklyn Nets | — | — |
| 3 | New York Knicks | — | — |
| 4 | Philadelphia 76ers | — | — |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | — | — |
| 6 | Chicago Bulls | — | — |
| 7 | Cleveland Cavaliers | — | — |
| 8 | Detroit Pistons | — | — |
| 9 | Indiana Pacers | — | — |
| 10 | Milwaukee Bucks | — | — |
| 11 | Atlanta Hawks | — | — |
| 12 | Charlotte Hornets | — | — |
| 13 | Miami Heat | — | — |
| 14 | Orlando Magic | — | — |
| 15 | Washington Wizards | — | — |
| 16 | Denver Nuggets | — | — |
| 17 | Minnesota Timberwolves | — | — |
| 18 | Oklahoma City Thunder | — | — |
| 19 | Portland Trail Blazers | — | — |
| 20 | Utah Jazz | — | — |
| 21 | Golden State Warriors | — | — |
| 22 | LA Clippers | — | — |
| 23 | Los Angeles Lakers | — | — |
| 24 | Phoenix Suns | — | — |
| 25 | Sacramento Kings | — | — |
| 26 | Dallas Mavericks | — | — |
| 27 | Houston Rockets | — | — |
| 28 | Memphis Grizzlies | — | — |
| 29 | New Orleans Pelicans | — | — |
| 30 | San Antonio Spurs | — | — |
Preseason · all clubs start level on Oct 21
MVP watch
1
Nikola JokicDenver Nuggets
—
2
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOklahoma City Thunder
—
3
Luka DoncicDallas Mavericks
—
4
Giannis AntetokounmpoMilwaukee Bucks
—
Preseason · live sportsbook feed pending
Model snapshot
| Markets covered | 12 |
| Season | 2026/27 |