Model vs market
Fixed probability scale · 0–100%No verified probabilities loaded yet.
Markets
Betting Lab
Betting lab
Edge vs. consensus across every market we track.
Betting Lab Pregame probability comparisons
See the model. Read the market.
Compare a verified outcome forecast with a timestamped market snapshot. Inspect where they differ, what the prices represent, and whether the comparison is valid.
Snapshots follow the server's refresh schedule. Reloading reuses the current cache; this page does not poll for new prices.
Home team
Model probability —
VSSelect a fixture
Away team
Model probability —
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Source, capture time and price type appear here.
View plansThe probability comparison
Gap = model − market · percentage points| Outcome | Model | Market | Gap | Observed decimal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading the selected fixture… | ||||
Checking model evidence and market compatibility.
Where they differ
Centered at zeroA matching market is needed to calculate the gap.
Price checks & hypothetical inputs
Expected value & Kelly calculation
These calculations require a compatible executable quote. Consensus and prediction-market snapshots are analytical references.
| Outcome | Decimal | EV per $1 | Kelly ($) |
|---|
Try a hypothetical market
Enter all outcome probabilities as decimals between 0 and 1. Inputs are normalized and labeled hypothetical; they do not create a tradable quote.
Forecast details
Model details will appear after verification.
Entropy (nats)—
Top outcome margin—
Player activity proxy
Context for the matchupHome team
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Away team
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Proxy scores are not scoring probabilities.
Model estimate. Fair or projected odds are analytical outputs, not prices Scoutics offers for a wager. Third-party market prices, when shown, may be delayed and should be verified with their stated source. See disclaimer.